Wednesday, August 20, 2014

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Austin

Poll show mixed numbers in US Senate race on eve of runoff Election Day

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After more than a year of campaigning, and mudslinging, Tuesday is Election Day, and a couple new polls show mixed numbers for one of the biggest races to watch.

A survey from Public Policy Polling shows Ted Cruz ahead of Dewhurst, 52 to 42 percent. Just two weeks earlier, PPP found them five points apart.

Sunday's poll specifically shows Cruz leading among Republicans who cast ballots during early voting, 55 to 40. He also leads, 49 to 44, among people who say they have yet to vote.

Dewhurst leads with seniors by a big margin, 56 to 39, but younger voters strongly prefer Cruz by a 60 to 33 margin.

While Public Policy Polling is a Democratic-leaning survey organization, their polls in this Republican race have been pretty accurate. Their poll right before the primary proved to be within a few points of the actual outcome. The Dewhurst campaign, however, is countering with a poll of their own which they say shows the numbers in their favor.

They're citing an internal poll, conducted by the Texas-based group Baselice & Associates during early voting on Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday of last week. It shows Dewhurst leading Cruz 48 percent to 43 percent. The poll, paid for by the Dewhurst campaign, was released by the National Journal. YNN confirmed the numbers with the polling group.

Cruz campaigned with some big names over the weekend. Sarah Palin, Jim DeMint and Rick Santorum all traveled to Texas to stump with him. Dewhurst has the backing of many top Texas officials. Governor Perry will campaign with him all day today. State Comptroller Susan Combs formally endorsed Dewhurst last week. Agriculture Commissioner Todd Staples announced his support for the lieutenant governor Sunday.

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